Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
Share
Yes price and rules edits
Resolution
Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Question
- Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
- Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- End date
- Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
No links added.