US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 27 h ago
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   Question

   US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

   Rules

   This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

   “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.

   Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.

   A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.

   The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

   End date

   Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.