PolymarketCryptoTrading

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Yes price
75¢
checked
24h volume
$252
dollars traded
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 2

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
    Rules

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

    For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

    For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

    The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Resolution source
    https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin
    End date
    Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedNov 2, 2026, 05:10 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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