PolymarketTech and scienceTrading

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
dollars traded
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
    Rules

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

    Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify.

    This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    End date
    Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

Polymarket sometimes posts a clarification on Discord or X before it edits the market, or without editing it. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.

No links added.