PolymarketWeatherTrading

Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Part of How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
dollars traded
Ends
Dec 1, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Dec 1, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
    Rules

    This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

    If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".

    A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.

    This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

    Resolution source
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php
    End date
    Dec 1, 2026, 04:59 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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