Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
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   Question

   Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

   Rules

   This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.

   This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.

   Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.

   A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.

   The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

   End date

   Jan 1, 2028, 04:59 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.