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Iran leadership change by October 31?

Part of Iran leadership change by...?
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Yes price
0¢
checked
24h volume
$12k
dollars traded
Ends
Nov 1, 2026
Recorded changes
1
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price1Edit

Resolution

Trading
Ends Nov 1, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 2
    Version 2, currentsince
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Iran leadership change by October 31?
    Rules

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

    An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

    The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    End date
    Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC
    UMA resolution status
    proposed
  2. 1
    Outcome proposedEdited between 03:40 and 05:45 UTC (2.1 h window)Yes0¢0¢
    UMA resolution status
    proposed

    Resolution steps changed from none to proposed.

    Full diff, share, rate
    Read version 1, the rules before this edit
    Question
    Iran leadership change by October 31?
    Rules

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

    An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

    The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    End date
    Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC
  3. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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