Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Question

   Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?

   Rules

   This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

   For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.

   An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

   The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

   End date

   Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:07 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.