Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 28 h ago
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   Question

   Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?

   Rules

   This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

   This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

   The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

   Resolution source

   https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026

   End date

   Dec 31, 2026, 00:00 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:08 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.