Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Question

   Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?

   Rules

   This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2027, currently scheduled for January 26 to 27. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

   If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".

   Emergency rate cuts will qualify.

   The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

   Resolution source

   https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

   End date

   Feb 8, 2027, 04:59 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:09 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.