Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Question

   Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?

   Rules

   This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

   The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff).

   If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

   Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate).

   Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered.

   This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

   End date

   Dec 31, 2026, 00:00 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:09 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.