Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?

Resolution

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago
   Read the current rules

   Question

   Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?

   Rules

   The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

   This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27.

   A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

   A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

   A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

   If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

   Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

   The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
   https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

   The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
   https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

   End date

   Jan 27, 2027, 23:59 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:09 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.