PolymarketWorldTrading

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?

Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
dollars traded
Ends
Nov 1, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Nov 1, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?
    Rules

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

    An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.

    Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

    An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.

    An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.

    Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.

    The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    End date
    Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:09 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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