PolymarketOtherTrading
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Part of Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
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Yes price
0¢
checked
24h volume
$30k
dollars traded
Ends
Nov 1, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Ends Nov 1, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Question
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
- Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- End date
- Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:09 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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