Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
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   Question

   Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?

   Rules

   This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

   Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic.

   A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date.

   The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

   End date

   Dec 1, 2026, 04:59 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:09 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.