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Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in October?

Part of Core CPI YoY - October 2026
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Yes price
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read on the next check
24h volume
—
dollars traded
Ends
Nov 11, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

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Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Nov 11, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in October?
    Rules

    This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

    The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

    Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.

    If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

    Resolution source
    https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm
    End date
    Nov 11, 2026, 04:59 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:10 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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