Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago
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   Question

   Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?

   Rules

   This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

   This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in October 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.

   The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026, currently scheduled to be released on November 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

   The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".

   Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0

   Resolution source

   https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31

   End date

   Nov 12, 2026, 19:00 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:10 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.