France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?

Resolution

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1. 2
   Version 2, currentsince 13 min ago
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   Question

   France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?

   Rules

   This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

   To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a "state of emergency" (état d'urgence) as defined by Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955 (Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence).

   Only declarations explicitly constituting a state of emergency under Law No. 55-385 will count.

   A declaration covering any part of the territory of the French Republic, including overseas departments, regions, and collectivities, will qualify.

   A declaration of a public health state of emergency (état d'urgence sanitaire) under the Public Health Code, a state of siege (état de siège) under Article 36 of the French Constitution, the use of exceptional powers under Article 16 of the French Constitution, the "Urgence attentat" level of the Vigipirate plan, a natural disaster declaration (état de catastrophe naturelle), or prefectoral orders issued outside of Law No. 55-385 will not count.

   The primary resolution source for this market will be the Journal Officiel de la République française (legifrance.gouv.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

   End date

   Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC

   UMA resolution status

   proposed

2. 1
   Outcome proposedEdited between 03:40 and 05:45 UTC (2.1 h window)Yes0¢→0¢
   UMA resolution status

   proposed

   Resolution steps changed from none to proposed.

   Full diff, share, rate
   Read version 1, the rules before this edit

   Question

   France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?

   Rules

   This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

   To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a "state of emergency" (état d'urgence) as defined by Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955 (Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence).

   Only declarations explicitly constituting a state of emergency under Law No. 55-385 will count.

   A declaration covering any part of the territory of the French Republic, including overseas departments, regions, and collectivities, will qualify.

   A declaration of a public health state of emergency (état d'urgence sanitaire) under the Public Health Code, a state of siege (état de siège) under Article 36 of the French Constitution, the use of exceptional powers under Article 16 of the French Constitution, the "Urgence attentat" level of the Vigipirate plan, a natural disaster declaration (état de catastrophe naturelle), or prefectoral orders issued outside of Law No. 55-385 will not count.

   The primary resolution source for this market will be the Journal Officiel de la République française (legifrance.gouv.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

   End date

   Nov 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC

3. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:11 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.