Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 2 days ago
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   Question

   Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026

   Rules

   This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.

   If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

   If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

   The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

   In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

   Resolution source

   https://ir.tesla.com/press

   End date

   Mar 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:13 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.