PolymarketWorldTrading

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by June 30, 2027?

Part of US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by...?

Open on Polymarket

Yes price

—

read on the next check

24h volume

—

dollars traded

Ends

Jul 1, 2027

in 240 days

Recorded changes

tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.

Yes price

Resolution

Trading

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Ended

Waiting for a proposal

Proposed

2 h to dispute on UMA

Resolved

Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

~~removed~~added

1
Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 3 days ago

Read the current rules
Question
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by June 30, 2027?
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
End date
Jul 1, 2027, 03:59 UTC
1
First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:17 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

Polymarket sometimes posts a clarification on Discord or X before it edits the market, or without editing it. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.

No links added.