PolymarketEconomyTrading

Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.1800 on October 31?

Part of Gas prices on October 31?
Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
dollars traded
Ends
Oct 31, 2026
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Ends Oct 31, 2026
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Question
    Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.1800 on October 31?
    Rules

    This market will resolve according to the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA for October 31, 2026.

    This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row.

    Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent previously-published AAA US national average price of regular gasoline.

    The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/).

    Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.

    Resolution source
    https://gasprices.aaa.com/
    End date
    Oct 31, 2026, 14:00 UTC
  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:21 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

Clarifications posted elsewhere

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