Yes price
4.4¢
checked
24h volume
$79
dollars traded
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Question
- NATO article 5 before 2027?
- Rules
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
- End date
- Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
Polymarket sometimes posts a clarification on Discord or X before it edits the market, or without editing it. No API carries those. Link one here and everyone watching gets an alert.
No links added.