Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Resolution

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1. 1
   Version 1, currentsince I first saw it, 28 h ago
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   Question

   Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

   Rules

   This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

   A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
   * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
   * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
   * Being formally booked or processed following detention
   * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
   * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
   * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

   The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
   * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
   * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
   * Being named in an indictment without arrest

   The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

   End date

   Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC

2. 1
   First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC

   Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.