PolymarketPoliticsTrading
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Part of Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
Open on Polymarket
Share
Yes price
3.6¢
checked
24h volume
$13k
dollars traded
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Question
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
- Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
- End date
- Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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