Yes price
8.7¢
checked
24h volume
$3.3k
dollars traded
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31
Yes price and rules edits
Price history from Polymarket's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price
Resolution
Trading
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Ended
Waiting for a proposal
Proposed
2 h to dispute on UMA
Resolved
Paid out
Checking the live resolution stage with Polymarket…
Rules history
- 1Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
Read the current rules
- Question
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- End date
- Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
- 1First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:06 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.
Clarifications posted elsewhere
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