Culture markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,483 open culture markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Tom Holland win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Steven Spielberg win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Aaron Sorkin win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Phil Lord or Christopher Miller win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will Jesse Eisenberg win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Peter Farrelly win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will Andrew Haigh win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will Ryusuke Hamaguchi win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will Cristian Mungiu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will David Fincher win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will Mike Leigh win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Mar 14
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years? Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?	Polymarket	—	—	Feb 1
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?	Polymarket	—	—	Feb 1
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?	Polymarket	—	—	Feb 1
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026-27 LaLiga Player of the Season award? LaLiga Player of the Season (2026-27)	Polymarket	—	—	May 30
Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by October 31? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	in 37 h
Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 15? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 19
Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 19
Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 15? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 19
Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 15? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 19
Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 19
Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 19
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 19
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 19
Will it snow in Cincinnati, OH by November 30? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 4
Will it snow in Denver, CO by November 30? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 4
Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 4
Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 30? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 4
Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 30? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 4
Will it snow in Philadelphia, PA by November 30? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 4
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30? First snow of the 2026 season	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 4
Will Drake release a new album by December 31? Will Drake release a new album by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be under 5%? Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?	Polymarket	—	—	May 1
Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window? How many goals will Lionel Messi score during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	Polymarket	—	—	Jun 1
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Golden Boy 2026 Winner	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 31
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 31

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.