Economy markets on Polymarket and Kalshi
1,851 open economy markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.
| Market | Venue | Yes | 24h vol | Ends | Edits | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027? CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...? |
— | — | Apr 1 | 0 | ||
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026? |
— | — | Feb 1 | 0 | ||
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026? |
— | — | Feb 1 | 0 | ||
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026? |
— | — | Feb 1 | 0 | ||
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026? |
— | — | Feb 1 | 0 | ||
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%? China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026? |
— | — | Feb 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? |
— | — | Nov 26 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? |
— | — | Nov 21 | 0 | ||
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027? How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.9% before 2027? How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027? How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027? How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027? How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027? How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027? How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027? How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027? How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in November? What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November? What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in November? What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in November? What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in November? What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in November? What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November? What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November? What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November? What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November? What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November? What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November? What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? |
— | — | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO? How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic raise between $125B and $135B in its IPO? How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO? How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? |
— | — | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? |
— | — | Nov 20 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? |
— | — | Nov 18 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? |
— | — | Nov 24 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? |
— | — | Nov 19 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? |
— | — | Nov 25 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? |
— | — | Nov 17 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 13, 2026 or earlier? Anthropic IPO Date |
— | — | Nov 14 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 16, 2026? Anthropic IPO Date |
— | — | Nov 17 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 17, 2026? Anthropic IPO Date |
— | — | Nov 18 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? Anthropic IPO Date |
— | — | Nov 19 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 23, 2026? Anthropic IPO Date |
— | — | Nov 24 | 0 |
Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.