Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,530 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

to
MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 5.6¢ $8.4k Nov 8 0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 23¢ $8.4k 0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket 4.9¢ $8.4k — 0
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket 0¢ $8.4k Oct 28 0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Polymarket 1.8¢ $8.3k Oct 25 0
Who will win the CA-11 House election?: Scott Wiener Kalshi 80¢ $8.3k Nov 3 0
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Massachusetts?: Ed Markey Kalshi 99¢ $8.3k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for RI-02?: Victor Mellor Kalshi 3.4¢ $8.3k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points?: James Talarico, 9+ pts Kalshi 7.5¢ $8.3k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 16¢ $8.3k 0
Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Spain General Election: ERC # of seats?
Polymarket 3.2¢ $8.2k Nov 30 0
Will a Republican win the House race for NY-3?: Mike LiPetri Kalshi 7.7¢ $8.2k Nov 3 0
Will Ken Block (Independent) win the governorship in Rhode Island Kalshi 2.5¢ $8.1k Nov 3 0
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?
Who will Trump speak to by November 30?
Polymarket 92¢ $8.1k Dec 1 0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 1¢ $8.1k 0
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket 0¢ $8.1k — 0
Will Republican win the House race for FL-25?: Scott Singer Kalshi 20¢ $8.1k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 1 percentage points?: El-Sayed, 1+ pts Kalshi 74¢ $8.1k Nov 3 0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 0¢ $8.1k Nov 8 0
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-02?: Zack Mullock Kalshi 31¢ $8.1k Nov 3 0
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 0¢ $8.1k Nov 8 0
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Polymarket 0¢ $8.1k 0
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
ME-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket 52¢ $8k 0
Will Republican win the House race for OH-15?: Mike Carey Kalshi 63¢ $8k Nov 3 0
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026?
Who will Trump meet with by November 30?
Polymarket 56¢ $8k Dec 1 0
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Tennessee?: Bill Hagerty Kalshi 97¢ $8k Nov 3 0
Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections? Kalshi 6.2¢ $7.9k Jan 3 0
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Dakota?: Julian Beaudion Kalshi 0.6¢ $7.9k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Mexico: Greggory D. Hull Kalshi 5.8¢ $7.9k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket 14¢ $7.9k 0
Will the Democratic party win 246-249 House seats in the 120th Congress? Kalshi 12¢ $7.9k Feb 1 0
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-22?: Randy Villegas Kalshi 92¢ $7.9k Nov 3 0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 2.1¢ $7.9k Nov 8 0
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 0¢ $7.8k Nov 8 0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
ME-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket 48¢ $7.8k 0
Will Mississippi have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections? Kalshi 4.5¢ $7.8k Jan 3 0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 26¢ $7.8k 0
Will Republican win the House race for NC-14?: Tim Moore Kalshi 82¢ $7.7k Nov 3 0
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Nominations
Polymarket 40¢ $7.7k Mar 15 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 4 percentage points?: Donalds, 4+ pts Kalshi 36¢ $7.7k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina: Alan Wilson Kalshi 95¢ $7.7k Nov 3 0
Will James Talarico outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas?: Yes Kalshi 52¢ $7.7k Nov 10 0
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket 12¢ $7.7k 0
Who will win the North Carolina State Senate?: Democratic party Kalshi 28¢ $7.7k Jan 27 0
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Polymarket 87¢ $7.6k 0
Will the Democratic party win 210-213 House seats in the 120th Congress? Kalshi 2.1¢ $7.6k Feb 1 0
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket 0¢ $7.6k Oct 28 0
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Polymarket 55¢ $7.6k Nov 29 0
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-10?: Kristina Knickerbocker Kalshi 31¢ $7.6k Nov 3 0
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Arkansas?: Tom Cotton Kalshi 96¢ $7.5k Nov 3 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.