Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,585 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage point?: Hamilton, 1+ pts	Kalshi	60¢	$1.6k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%? Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	12¢	$1.6k	in 16 h
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? IA-03 House Election Winner	Polymarket	14¢	$1.6k	in 16 h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat? TX-32 House Election Winner	Polymarket	16¢	$1.6k	in 16 h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? CA-13 House Election Winner	Polymarket	93¢	$1.6k	in 16 h
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 105 and 109.99 million?: 105 to 109.99 million	Kalshi	11¢	$1.6k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 8 percentage points?: Moody, 8+ pts	Kalshi	40¢	$1.6k	Nov 3
Will Trump say "Merck" before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	99¢	$1.6k	Dec 1
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat? OH-15 House Election Winner	Polymarket	61¢	$1.6k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the U.S. Senate election in Alaska be at least 2 percentage points?: Dan Sullivan, 2+ pts	Kalshi	21¢	$1.6k	Nov 3
Will Republican win the House race for NY-14?: Diamant Hysenaj	Kalshi	0.8¢	$1.6k	Nov 3
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Polymarket	6.2¢	$1.6k	Jan 1
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 40%-45%? OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	6.7¢	$1.6k	in 16 h
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? WA-05 House Election Winner	Polymarket	23¢	$1.6k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 11 percentage points?: Flanagan, 11+ pts	Kalshi	25¢	$1.6k	Nov 3
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 186 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?: At least 186	Kalshi	66¢	$1.6k	Jan 3
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 9% and 12%?: Mary Peltola, 9-12%	Kalshi	3¢	$1.6k	Jun 2
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	18¢	$1.6k	in 16 h
Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026? Closest Senate Race?	Polymarket	22¢	$1.6k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 12 percentage points?: Donalds, 12+ pts	Kalshi	5.1¢	$1.6k	Nov 3
Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Closest Governor's Race?	Polymarket	11¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000? Maryland Governor Election: Turnout	Polymarket	25¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 5600000?: Above 5.60M	Kalshi	25¢	$1.5k	Nov 3
Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?	Polymarket	49¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 3 percentage points?: Hinson, 3+ pts	Kalshi	26¢	$1.5k	Nov 3
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000? Delaware Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	17¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 7 percentage points?: Moody, 7+ pts	Kalshi	46¢	$1.5k	Nov 3
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	1¢	$1.5k	Nov 7
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? TX-32 House Election Winner	Polymarket	85¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will Republicans win the Texas Senate seat, and Democrats win Michigan and Maine? Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine	Polymarket	8.6¢	$1.5k	in 11 h
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? Arkansas Senate Election Winner	Polymarket	2.2¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 15%-20%? Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	22¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 1 percentage points?: Hyde-Smith, 1+ pts	Kalshi	82¢	$1.5k	Nov 3
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?	Polymarket	0¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 8 percentage points?: Brown, 8+ pts	Kalshi	20¢	$1.5k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-05?: Christian Vukasovich	Kalshi	1.8¢	$1.5k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? AZ-06 House Election Winner	Polymarket	7.5¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? IA-01 House Election Winner	Polymarket	93¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 9 percentage points?: Moody, 9+ pts	Kalshi	30¢	$1.5k	Nov 3
Manchin Senate combo: Both lose?	Kalshi	71¢	$1.5k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%? Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	12¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?: Mary Peltola, 3-6%	Kalshi	24¢	$1.5k	Jun 2
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 9%-12%? CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	14¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	18¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,950,000 and 5,100,000? Ohio Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	6.8¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner	Polymarket	50¢	$1.5k	in 11 h
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)	Polymarket	32¢	$1.5k	Nov 3
Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before 2027?: Before 2027	Kalshi	5.1¢	$1.5k	Jan 2
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	21¢	$1.5k	in 16 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Iowa be at least 1 percentage points?: Sand, 1+ pts	Kalshi	86¢	$1.4k	Nov 3

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.