Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,592 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will Democratic win the House race for OK-01?: John Croisant	Kalshi	7.7¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	7.3¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 9%-12%? TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	5.1¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)	Polymarket	56¢	$1.3k	in 34 h
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000? Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	56¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?: Graham, 5+ pts	Kalshi	32¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-06?: Eric Yonce	Kalshi	3¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-31?: Justin Early	Kalshi	8.2¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	3.1¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?	Polymarket	34¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 10%?: Roger Marshall, ≥10%	Kalshi	5¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-09 House seat? PA-09 House Election Winner	Polymarket	4.9¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Louisiana be at least 7 percentage points?: Letlow, 7+ pts	Kalshi	43¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 11 percentage points?: Flanagan, 11+ pts	Kalshi	24¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will Alaska Governor winner be Democratic party and Alaska Senate winner be Democratic party?: Democrats sweep	Kalshi	71¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? MN-06 House Election Winner	Polymarket	94¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 2 percentage points?: Collins, 2+ pts	Kalshi	28¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	5.9¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 15 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?: At least 15	Kalshi	69¢	$1.3k	Jan 3
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory	Polymarket	13¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 7 percentage points?: Hamilton, 7+ pts	Kalshi	19¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 13 percentage points?: Hyde-Smith, 13+ pts	Kalshi	14¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 15 percentage points?: Democrats, 15+ pts	Kalshi	90¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-06?: Democratic party	Kalshi	4.8¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Who will win the Texas Senate?: Democratic party	Kalshi	4.5¢	$1.3k	Jan 26
Will Republican win the House race for SC-06?: John Peterson	Kalshi	1.5¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will Republicans win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Michigan? Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine	Polymarket	5.2¢	$1.3k	in 5 h
Republican Senate odds hit 30% again by November 1?	Polymarket	1.8¢	$1.3k	Nov 2
Will the number of parties that control both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate during February 1, 2027 be above 0?: Yes	Kalshi	80¢	$1.3k	Feb 1
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 10%-15%? FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	20¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%? North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	22¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	22¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will Michigan Governor winner be Republican party and Michigan Senate winner be Democratic party?: John James and Abdul El-Sayed win	Kalshi	1.5¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?	Polymarket	1¢	$1.3k	in 10 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?: Andrews, 2+ pts	Kalshi	24¢	$1.3k	Nov 3
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election? Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?	Polymarket	99¢	$1.2k	in 5 h
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? Senate Combo: Michigan and Ohio	Polymarket	73¢	$1.2k	in 5 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Ohio be at least 9 percentage points?: Acton, 9+ pts	Kalshi	22¢	$1.2k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? OH-01 House Election Winner	Polymarket	95¢	$1.2k	in 10 h
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 2,000,000 and 2,150,000? Maryland Governor Election: Turnout	Polymarket	42¢	$1.2k	in 10 h
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-24?: Kevin Burge	Kalshi	5.7¢	$1.2k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?: Mary Peltola, 0-3%	Kalshi	31¢	$1.2k	Jun 2
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%? Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	21¢	$1.2k	in 10 h
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? Next US Senate Minority Leader?	Polymarket	66¢	$1.2k	Jan 3
Will Democratic win the House race for NM-01?: Melanie Stansbury	Kalshi	98¢	$1.2k	Nov 3
Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Closest Governor's Race?	Polymarket	10¢	$1.2k	in 10 h
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat? MI-04 House Election Winner	Polymarket	60¢	$1.2k	in 10 h
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?	Polymarket	39¢	$1.2k	in 10 h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	36¢	$1.2k	in 10 h
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,950,000 and 5,100,000? Ohio Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	4.8¢	$1.2k	in 10 h

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.