Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,588 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends	Edits
Will Republican win the House race for CA-32?: Larry Thompson	Kalshi	1¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will Republican win the House race for TN-07?: Matt Van Epps	Kalshi	94¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	0¢	$1.1k	Nov 8	0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory	Polymarket	15¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will Republican win the House race for ID-02?: Mike Simpson	Kalshi	97¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?: Hinson, 6+ pts	Kalshi	14¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? WI-01 House Election Winner	Polymarket	54¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage points?: Marshall, 1+ pts	Kalshi	34¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-22?: Randy Villegas	Kalshi	93¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3%-6%? TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	14¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-15?: Ritchie Torres	Kalshi	98¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 246 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?: At least 246	Kalshi	42¢	$1.1k	Jan 3	0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 7 percentage points?: Hyde-Smith, 7+ pts	Kalshi	46¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Massachusetts be at least 20 percentage points?: Healey, 20+ pts	Kalshi	68¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	0¢	$1.1k	Nov 8	0
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?: Denver	Kalshi	41¢	$1.1k	Aug 7	1
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? MN-08 House Election Winner	Polymarket	85¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Who will win the 2026 CA-14 House election?: Melissa Hernandez	Kalshi	5.5¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 3%-6%? NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	17¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 6 percentage points?: Crowley, 6+ pts	Kalshi	43¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 222 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?: At least 222	Kalshi	3.5¢	$1.1k	Jan 3	0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? Guam Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	96¢	$1.1k	in 3 h	0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 3%-6%? TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	53¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will Republican win the House race for TX-32?: Jace Yarbrough	Kalshi	86¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Who will win the New Hampshire State Senate?: Republican party	Kalshi	42¢	$1.1k	Dec 16	0
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? 2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner	Polymarket	42¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?: Herrera, 1+ pts	Kalshi	69¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31? Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	0¢	$1.1k	Nov 1	0
Who will win the 2026 CA-34 House election?: Jimmy Gomez	Kalshi	21¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? JD Vance out as VP by...?	Polymarket	3.9¢	$1.1k	Jan 1	0
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Polymarket	0¢	$1.1k	Oct 28	0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 9 percentage points?: Hamilton, 9+ pts	Kalshi	12¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat? PA-09 House Election Winner	Polymarket	95¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat? FL-21 House Election Winner	Polymarket	89¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	0¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will Trump do anything on Nov 2, 2026?: Yes	Kalshi	1¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	15¢	$1.1k	in 8 h	0
Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?: At least 60%	Kalshi	14¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will Bob Smith receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?: At least 38%	Kalshi	32¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Graham, 1+ pts	Kalshi	64¢	$1.1k	Nov 3	0
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations	Polymarket	93¢	$1k	Jan 21	0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	0.8¢	$1k	Nov 8	0
Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Dakota: Larry Rhoden	Kalshi	98¢	$1k	Nov 3	0
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? Senate Combo: Michigan and Texas	Polymarket	76¢	$1k	in 3 h	0
Will Republican win the House race for MO-01?: Paul Berry	Kalshi	1.4¢	$1k	Nov 3	0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? Michigan Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	14¢	$1k	in 8 h	0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	0¢	$1k	Nov 8	0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	0¢	$1k	Nov 8	0
Will Republican win the House race for NY-05?: George Marsh	Kalshi	1.5¢	$1k	Nov 3	0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? Kansas Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	16¢	$1k	in 8 h	0

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.