NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Resolution steps changed from proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed to proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed, then disputed, then proposed.
The window runs from my last check that saw the old text to the check that saw the new one. Neither venue says when it edited. Prices are the Yes side, read from Polymarket's API at those checks.