KalshiPoliticsTrading1 edit

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Open on Kalshi

Yes price

8¢

checked 10 h ago

24h volume

contracts, $1 each at most

Ends

Jan 20, 2029

in 809 days

Recorded changes

tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.

Yes price1Edit

Resolution

Trading

Closes Jan 20, 2029

Closed

Kalshi determines the result

Determined

Settles after a short timer

Settled

Paid out

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Rules history

~~removed~~added

2
Version 2, currentsince 10 h ago

Read the current rules
Title
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Outcome
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Rules
If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being removed from office) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
More rules
If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Close time
Jan 20, 2029, 15:00 UTC
Expiration
Jan 20, 2029, 15:00 UTC
Early close
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs for any person.
1
Rules editedEdited between 00:45 and 01:05 UTC (20 min window)Yes8¢
Rules+3−1
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8 words member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached)removed from office) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Full diff, share, rate
Read version 1, the rules before this edit
Title
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Outcome
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Rules
If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
More rules
If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Close time
Jan 20, 2029, 15:00 UTC
Expiration
Jan 20, 2029, 15:00 UTC
Early close
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs for any person.
1
First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC
Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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