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GDP growth in 2026?: 1.6% to 2.0%

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Yes price
—
read on the next check
24h volume
—
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Feb 28, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Oct 31

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Feb 28, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

removedadded
  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    GDP growth in 2026?
    Outcome
    1.6% to 2.0%
    Rules

    If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is between 1.6% to 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.

    All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

    Close time
    Feb 28, 2027, 13:29 UTC
    Expiration
    Feb 28, 2027, 13:29 UTC
    Early close

    allowed

  2. 1
    First recordedOct 31, 2026, 09:23 UTC

    Saved in my first snapshot of every open market. Neither venue keeps older versions, so nothing before this exists.

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