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Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican party?

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Yes price
13¢
checked
24h volume
$334
contracts, $1 each at most
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Recorded changes
0
tracked since Nov 2

Yes price and rules edits

Price history from Kalshi's public API. Each numbered marker is an edit; point at it to read it.
Yes price

Resolution

Trading
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Closed
Kalshi determines the result
Determined
Settles after a short timer
Settled
Paid out

Checking the live resolution stage with Kalshi…

Rules history

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  1. 1
    Version 1, currentsince I first saw it,
    Read the current rules
    Title
    Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican party?
    Outcome
    Lisa Murkowski
    Rules

    If Lisa Murkowski leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    More rules

    If Lisa Murkowski changes their official party registration from Republican to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Republican party, or is expelled from the Republican party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes. If Lisa Murkowski is a member of the U.S. Senate and, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, announces they will no longer caucus with the Republican party or begins caucusing with a different party, the market also resolves to Yes.

    Close time
    Jan 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Expiration
    Jan 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC
    Early close

    This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

  2. 1
    First recordedNov 2, 2026, 18:30 UTC

    Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.

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