Will the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?

Resolution

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1. 2
   Version 2, currentsince 12 h ago
   Read the current rules

   Question

   Will the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?

   Rules

   This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

   ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

   This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

   Resolution source

   https://www.fec.gov/

   End date

   Nov 4, 2026, 04:59 UTC

   UMA resolution status

   proposed, then disputed

2. 1
   Outcome disputedEdited between 01:50 and 09:50 UTC (8 h window)Yes96¢→93¢→94¢−2¢
   UMA resolution status

   proposed→disputed

   Resolution steps changed from none to proposed, then disputed.

   Full diff, share, rate
   Read version 1, the rules before this edit

   Question

   Will the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?

   Rules

   This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

   ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

   This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

   Resolution source

   https://www.fec.gov/

   End date

   Nov 4, 2026, 04:59 UTC

3. 1
   First recordedNov 1, 2026, 12:50 UTC

   Saved when the market first traded, or when someone first watched it.