Economy markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,617 open economy markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

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MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will the S&P 500 be between 6400 and 6599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 6,400 to 6,599.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 6600 and 6799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 6,600 to 6,799.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 6800 and 6999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 6,800 to 6,999.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,000 to 7,199.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 7200 and 7399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,200 to 7,399.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,400 to 7,599.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,600 to 7,799.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,800 to 7,999.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,000 to 8,199.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,200 to 8,399.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,400 to 8,599.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 3,999.99 or below Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 9,000.01 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?: 7,800 to 7,999.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Who will IPO before 2027?: Anthropic Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
Who will IPO before 2027?: Discord Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
Who will IPO before 2027?: Mistral AI Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
Who will IPO before 2027?: OpenAI Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
Who will IPO before 2027?: xAI Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
When will Anduril IPO?: Before Jun 1, 2027 Kalshi — — Jun 1 0
When will Anduril IPO?: Before May 1, 2027 Kalshi — — May 1 0
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?: Before Dec 1, 2026 Kalshi — — Dec 1 0
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?: Before Nov 16, 2026 Kalshi — — Nov 16 0
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?: Before Apr 1, 2027 Kalshi — — Apr 1 0
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?: Before Jan 1, 2027 Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
When will Bloomberg officially announce an IPO?: Before Jan 1, 2028 Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
When will Glean IPO?: Before Jan 1, 2027 Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
When will OpenAI IPO?: Before Jan 1, 2027 Kalshi — — Jan 1 0
When will OpenAI IPO?: Before Jun 1, 2027 Kalshi — — Jun 1 0
When will OpenAI IPO?: Before Mar 1, 2027 Kalshi — — Mar 1 0
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 31, 2026?: At least 190,000 Kalshi — — 0
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 31, 2026?: At least 195,000 Kalshi — — 0
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 31, 2026?: At least 200,000 Kalshi — — 0
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 31, 2026?: At least 205,000 Kalshi — — 0
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 31, 2026?: At least 210,000 Kalshi — — 0
Inflation surge in 2026?: At least 4.5% Kalshi — — Feb 14 0
Inflation surge in 2026?: At least 6.5% Kalshi — — Feb 14 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31399.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 31,400 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31599.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 31,600 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31799.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 31,800 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 32,000 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 22600.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 22,600 or below Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 22800.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 22,800 or below Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 25,249.86 or above Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28439.99 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 11am EST?: 28,440 or above Kalshi — — 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28369.99 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 28,370 or above Kalshi — — 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28379.99 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 28,380 or above Kalshi — — 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28499.99 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 28,500 or above Kalshi — — 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 22500 and 22999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 22,500 to 22,999.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 23000 and 23499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 23,000 to 23,499.99 Kalshi — — Dec 31 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.