Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,537 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

to
MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Polymarket 11¢ $4.9k Apr 1 0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 4.7¢ $4.8k 0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
AL-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket 54¢ $4.8k 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage points?: Marshall, 1+ pts Kalshi 35¢ $4.7k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 2 percentage points?: Brown, 2+ pts Kalshi 63¢ $4.7k Nov 3 0
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?
Senate Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire
Polymarket 73¢ $4.7k 0
Will Idaho have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections? Kalshi 1¢ $4.7k Jan 3 0
Will Beto O'Rourke be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? Kalshi 0¢ $4.7k Nov 7 0
Who will win the Arizona State Senate?: Democratic party Kalshi 74¢ $4.7k Jan 25 0
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-02?: Shomari Figures Kalshi 45¢ $4.7k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 13 percentage points?: Cooper, 13+ pts Kalshi 67¢ $4.7k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?: Moody, 2+ pts Kalshi 75¢ $4.6k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?
SC-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket 12¢ $4.6k 0
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
Polymarket 76¢ $4.6k 0
Will Republican win the House race for TN-05?: Charlie Hatcher Kalshi 93¢ $4.5k Nov 3 0
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?
Democratic Senate odds on November 1?
Polymarket 99¢ $4.5k Nov 1 0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?
NC-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket 12¢ $4.5k 0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?
FL-26 House Election Winner
Polymarket 87¢ $4.5k 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 12 percentage points?: Moody, 12+ pts Kalshi 9.9¢ $4.5k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
ME-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket 47¢ $4.5k 0
Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections? Kalshi 7.5¢ $4.5k Jan 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-04?: LaShonda Holloway Kalshi 20¢ $4.5k Nov 3 0
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 250 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?: At least 250 Kalshi 38¢ $4.5k Jan 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?: Andrews, 5+ pts Kalshi 9.5¢ $4.4k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for CA-22?: David Valadao Kalshi 7.8¢ $4.4k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-16?: Kelly Kirschner Kalshi 28¢ $4.4k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?
KY-06 House Election Winner
Polymarket 56¢ $4.4k 0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket 2.1¢ $4.4k Nov 8 0
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?
OK-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket 12¢ $4.4k 0
Will Republican win the House race for IA-3?: Zach Nunn Kalshi 17¢ $4.3k Nov 3 0
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Polymarket 0¢ $4.3k Oct 25 0
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 2 and 4%?: Democrats, 2 to 4% Kalshi 2.4¢ $4.3k Nov 3 0
Will Kansas Governor winner be Democratic party and Kansas Senate winner be Democratic party?: Cindy Holscher and Adam Hamilton win Kalshi 28¢ $4.3k Nov 3 0
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027 Kalshi 23¢ $4.3k Jan 1 0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?
FL-22 House Election Winner
Polymarket 75¢ $4.2k 0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 0.6¢ $4.2k 0
Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 0% and 2%?: Adam Hamilton, 0-2% Kalshi 20¢ $4.2k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-27?: Eliott Rodriguez Kalshi 42¢ $4.2k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket 3.8¢ $4.1k 0
Will Republican win the House race for FL-09?: Dan Green Kalshi 65¢ $4.1k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?
FL-14 House Election Winner
Polymarket 24¢ $4.1k 0
Will Texas Governor winner be Democratic party and Texas Senate winner be Republican party?: Gina Hinojosa and Ken Paxton win Kalshi 1¢ $4.1k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for NC-07?: David Rouzer Kalshi 75¢ $4.1k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for NH-02?: Lily Tang Williams Kalshi 4.2¢ $4.1k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?: Andrews, 2+ pts Kalshi 27¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for NC-03?: Greg Murphy Kalshi 56¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for CO-04?: Lauren Boebert Kalshi 63¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 1.7¢ $4k Nov 8 0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 0¢ $4k Nov 8 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 2 percentage points?: Masterson, 2+ pts Kalshi 59¢ $4k Nov 3 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.