Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,537 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

to
MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?
FL-14 House Election Winner
Polymarket 24¢ $4.1k 0
Will Republican win the House race for NC-07?: David Rouzer Kalshi 75¢ $4.1k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 13 percentage points?: Cooper, 13+ pts Kalshi 66¢ $4.1k Nov 3 0
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?
Texas Senate and Governor Combo
Polymarket 39¢ $4.1k 0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Trump meets with Putin by...?
Polymarket 85¢ $4k Jan 1 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?: Andrews, 2+ pts Kalshi 25¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 1.7¢ $4k Nov 8 0
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-27?: Eliott Rodriguez Kalshi 43¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for AR-02?: Chris Jones Kalshi 21¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 0% and 2%?: Adam Hamilton, 0-2% Kalshi 21¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 0¢ $4k Nov 8 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 2 percentage points?: Masterson, 2+ pts Kalshi 60¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will Texas Governor winner be Democratic party and Texas Senate winner be Republican party?: Gina Hinojosa and Ken Paxton win Kalshi 1¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 0% and 2%?: Roger Marshall, 0-2% Kalshi 21¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-02?: Jeff Van Drew Kalshi 69¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket 5.6¢ $4k 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 4 percentage points?: Brown, 4+ pts Kalshi 49¢ $4k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 13 percentage points?: El-Sayed, 13+ pts Kalshi 7.4¢ $3.9k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-08?: Mary Allen Kalshi 3.1¢ $3.9k Nov 3 0
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
Polymarket 0¢ $3.9k Nov 1 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?: Cooper, 5+ pts Kalshi 96¢ $3.8k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 60¢ $3.8k 0
Will Republican win the House race for NC-03?: Greg Murphy Kalshi 56¢ $3.8k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
MI-10 House Election Winner
Polymarket 26¢ $3.8k 0
Will Republican win the House race for CA-22?: David Valadao Kalshi 7.6¢ $3.8k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points?: Abbott, 5+ pts Kalshi 26¢ $3.8k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for CO-05?: Jessica Killin Kalshi 46¢ $3.8k Nov 3 0
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
Polymarket 15¢ $3.8k 0
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?
Democratic Senate odds on November 2?
Polymarket 98¢ $3.8k 0
Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections? Kalshi 1.4¢ $3.7k Jan 3 0
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
SC-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket 88¢ $3.7k 0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket 30¢ $3.7k 0
Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 4% and 6%?: James Talarico, 4-6% Kalshi 14¢ $3.7k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for MN-01?: Brad Finstad Kalshi 61¢ $3.7k Nov 3 0
Will Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?: Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win Kalshi 59¢ $3.7k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Ohio be at least 3 percentage points?: Acton, 3+ pts Kalshi 68¢ $3.6k Nov 3 0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 0¢ $3.6k Nov 8 0
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-9?: Marcy Kaptur Kalshi 81¢ $3.6k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?: Abbott, 6+ pts Kalshi 16¢ $3.6k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for WI-1?: Bryan Steil Kalshi 50¢ $3.6k Nov 3 0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Polymarket 0¢ $3.6k Jan 1 0
Will Republican win the House race for TX-28?: Tano Tijerina Kalshi 8¢ $3.6k Nov 3 0
Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between 1 and 50 governors after the 2026 midterms?: Republican Party Kalshi 14¢ $3.6k Jan 1 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 7 percentage points?: Donalds, 7+ pts Kalshi 16¢ $3.5k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 5 percentage points?: Hyde-Smith, 5+ pts Kalshi 51¢ $3.5k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-22?: Randy Villegas Kalshi 92¢ $3.5k Nov 3 0
Will Ohio Governor winner be Democratic party and Ohio Senate winner be Republican party?: Amy Acton and Jon Husted win Kalshi 11¢ $3.5k Nov 3 0
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket 0¢ $3.5k Oct 28 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?: Ossoff, 6+ pts Kalshi 84¢ $3.5k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be between 0% and 2%?: Darline Graham, 0-2% Kalshi 16¢ $3.5k Nov 3 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.