Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,534 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

to
MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will Republican win the House race for NH-02?: Lily Tang Williams Kalshi 5.5¢ $3.9k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 11 percentage points?: Ossoff, 11+ pts Kalshi 60¢ $3.9k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for FL-13?: Anna Paulina Luna Kalshi 67¢ $3.9k Nov 3 0
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
Polymarket 0¢ $3.9k Nov 1 0
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Delaware?: Michael Katz Kalshi 1¢ $3.9k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-1?: Don Davis Kalshi 87¢ $3.9k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?
KY-06 House Election Winner
Polymarket 46¢ $3.8k 0
Will Republican win the House race for NC-07?: David Rouzer Kalshi 75¢ $3.8k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for MN-01?: Brad Finstad Kalshi 61¢ $3.8k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 6 percentage points?: Ricketts, 6+ pts Kalshi 28¢ $3.8k Nov 3 0
Will exactly 1 Senate Democrat lose re-election in 2026?: Exactly 1 Kalshi 3.1¢ $3.8k Dec 31 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 5 percentage points?: Brown, 5+ pts Kalshi 39¢ $3.8k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic party win the Senate in 2028? Kalshi 65¢ $3.8k Feb 1 0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Polymarket 5.5¢ $3.8k 0
Will Democratic win the House race for CO-05?: Jessica Killin Kalshi 45¢ $3.7k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
ME-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket 46¢ $3.7k 0
Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections? Kalshi 7.5¢ $3.6k Jan 3 0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 0¢ $3.6k Nov 8 0
Will the Republican party win the Senate in 2028? Kalshi 31¢ $3.6k Feb 1 0
Will Republican win the House race for WI-1?: Bryan Steil Kalshi 50¢ $3.6k Nov 3 0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Polymarket 0¢ $3.6k Jan 1 0
Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections? Kalshi 6.1¢ $3.6k Jan 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 7 percentage points?: Donalds, 7+ pts Kalshi 18¢ $3.5k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?
CA-22 House Election Winner
Polymarket 94¢ $3.5k 0
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket 0¢ $3.5k Oct 28 0
Will Ohio Governor winner be Democratic party and Ohio Senate winner be Republican party?: Amy Acton and Jon Husted win Kalshi 10¢ $3.5k Nov 3 0
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Montana Senate Election Winner
Polymarket 0¢ $3.4k 0
Will Arkansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections? Kalshi 1¢ $3.4k Jan 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 1 percentage points?: Jolly, 1+ pts Kalshi 34¢ $3.4k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage point?: Hamilton, 1+ pts Kalshi 59¢ $3.3k Nov 3 0
Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between -50 and -1 governors after the 2026 midterms?: Democratic Party Kalshi 84¢ $3.3k Jan 1 0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?
IL-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket 1.5¢ $3.3k 0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?
PA-08 House Election Winner
Polymarket 88¢ $3.3k 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?: Cooper, 5+ pts Kalshi 95¢ $3.3k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
MI-10 House Election Winner
Polymarket 26¢ $3.3k 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 3 percentage points?: Husted, 3+ pts Kalshi 14¢ $3.3k Nov 3 0
Will Republican win the House race for OH-9?: Derek Merrin Kalshi 20¢ $3.3k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-8?: Paige Cognetti Kalshi 87¢ $3.3k Nov 3 0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? Kalshi 0.7¢ $3.3k Nov 7 0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?
GA-12 House Election Winner
Polymarket 15¢ $3.2k 0
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-06?: Eric Yonce Kalshi 3.5¢ $3.2k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Polymarket 86¢ $3.2k 0
Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?: Yes Kalshi 32¢ $3.2k Nov 10 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 5 percentage points?: Hyde-Smith, 5+ pts Kalshi 53¢ $3.2k Nov 3 0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
Polymarket 90¢ $3.2k 0
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?: Ken Paxton, 7+ pts Kalshi 5.2¢ $3.2k Nov 3 0
Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections? Kalshi 3.5¢ $3.2k Jan 20 0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?
TX-35 House Election Winner
Polymarket 28¢ $3.2k 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 10 percentage points?: Hochul, 10+ pts Kalshi 76¢ $3.2k Nov 3 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Nevada be at least 4 percentage points?: Ford, 4+ pts Kalshi 44¢ $3.2k Nov 3 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.