Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,588 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 3%-6%? NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	17¢	$1k	in 6 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?: Hinson, 6+ pts	Kalshi	15¢	$1k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Andrews, 1+ pts	Kalshi	25¢	$1k	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? MI-07 House Election Winner	Polymarket	78¢	$1k	in 6 h
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	32¢	$1k	in 6 h
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? MI-10 House Election Winner	Polymarket	74¢	$1k	in 6 h
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2? Democratic Senate odds on November 2?	Polymarket	100¢	$1k	Nov 2
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 12% or more? Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	2.6¢	$1k	in 6 h
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-06?: Danny Minton	Kalshi	3.7¢	$1k	Nov 3
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 222 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?: At least 222	Kalshi	92¢	$1k	Jan 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Graham, 1+ pts	Kalshi	62¢	$1k	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?: Turek, 6+ pts	Kalshi	14¢	$1k	Nov 3
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?	Polymarket	95¢	$1k	—
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more? Ohio Senate Election: Turnout	Polymarket	20¢	$1k	in 6 h
Will Donald Trump be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?	Polymarket	0¢	$1k	Dec 31
Will Wisconsin have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?	Kalshi	4.7¢	$1k	Jan 20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 9%-12%? NC-07 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	13¢	$1k	in 6 h
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)	Polymarket	3.4¢	$1k	Nov 3
Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Carolina?	Kalshi	2¢	$1k	Nov 3
Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections? Lima Mayoral Election Winner	Polymarket	0¢	$1k	Oct 5
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? California Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	0¢	$1k	in 6 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 6 percentage points?: Collins, 6+ pts	Kalshi	8.4¢	$996	Nov 3
Will Steve Hilton outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 California governor election?: Yes	Kalshi	66¢	$996	Nov 10
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? Kentucky Senate Election Winner	Polymarket	2.9¢	$988	in 6 h
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 1 percentage points?: Crowley, 1+ pts	Kalshi	79¢	$986	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Angie Nixon in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be at least 2%?: Angie Nixon, ≥2%	Kalshi	4.5¢	$985	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%? TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	4.8¢	$984	in 6 h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	17¢	$981	in 6 h
Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the U.S. Senate election in Alaska be at least 4 percentage points?: Dan Sullivan, 4+ pts	Kalshi	14¢	$980	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	16¢	$980	in 6 h
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Idaho be decided by 5 percentage points or less?	Kalshi	9¢	$979	Nov 3
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-12?: Alma Adams	Kalshi	99¢	$977	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%? Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	15¢	$975	in 6 h
Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner	Polymarket	68¢	$973	in 83 min
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Ohio be at least 3 percentage points?: Ramaswamy, 3+ pts	Kalshi	9.8¢	$972	Nov 3
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?	Polymarket	0.8¢	$971	in 6 h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat? TX-34 House Election Winner	Polymarket	91¢	$966	in 6 h
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 12 percentage points?: Blackburn, 12+ pts	Kalshi	52¢	$965	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? NC-05 House Election Winner	Polymarket	15¢	$962	in 6 h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 6%-9%? TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	42¢	$959	in 6 h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? TX-28 House Election Winner	Polymarket	7.5¢	$954	in 6 h
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-14?: Maria Jukic	Kalshi	3.8¢	$953	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 6%-9%? New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	24¢	$953	in 6 h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%? Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory	Polymarket	11¢	$953	in 6 h
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-24?: Kevin Burge	Kalshi	5.8¢	$952	Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 6%-9%? Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round)	Polymarket	13¢	$951	in 6 h
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000? Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout	Polymarket	43¢	$946	in 6 h
Will Republican win the House race for TN-07?: Matt Van Epps	Kalshi	94¢	$946	Nov 3
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Nebraska be at least 7 percentage points?: Republicans, 7+ pts	Kalshi	38¢	$945	Nov 3
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Polymarket	4.1¢	$945	Jan 1

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.