Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,526 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

to
MarketVenueYes24h volEndsEditsWatch
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada: Joe Lombardo Kalshi 26¢ $16k Nov 3 0
Will Texas Senate be James Talarico wins AND Maine Senate be Susan Collins wins for Nov 2026?: James Talarico and Susan Collins Kalshi 18¢ $16k Nov 3 0
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0¢ $16k 0
Will the Democratic party win 238-241 House seats in the 120th Congress? Kalshi 13¢ $16k Feb 1 0
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0¢ $16k 0
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Polymarket 76¢ $16k Nov 29 0
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0¢ $16k 0
What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Dubuque, Iowa originally scheduled for November 1, 2026?: Event does not qualify Kalshi 1¢ $15k Nov 15 0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?
MO-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket 40¢ $15k 0
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 1.4¢ $15k 0
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0¢ $15k 0
Will Republican win the House race for VA-05?: John McGuire Kalshi 65¢ $15k Nov 3 0
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.1 on Nov 1, 2026?: Below 38.1% Kalshi 4¢ $15k Nov 1 0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket 0.8¢ $15k Apr 19 0
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0.7¢ $15k 0
Will the Democratic party win 234-237 House seats in the 120th Congress? Kalshi 11¢ $15k Feb 1 0
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0.7¢ $15k 0
Israeli Knesset election annulled? Polymarket 4.1¢ $15k Jan 1 0
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%?: Democrats, 8 to 10% Kalshi 31¢ $15k Nov 3 0
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?: Chris Gallant Kalshi 18¢ $14k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican party hold exactly 48 Senate seats in the 120th Congress? Kalshi 14¢ $14k Feb 1 0
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0¢ $14k 0
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana?: Kurt Alme Kalshi 89¢ $14k Nov 3 0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Polymarket 73¢ $14k Oct 5 0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?
MO-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket 61¢ $14k 0
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0¢ $14k 0
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0¢ $14k 0
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 2 percentage points?: El-Sayed, 2+ pts Kalshi 63¢ $14k Nov 3 0
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alabama: Doug Jones Kalshi 6.5¢ $14k Nov 3 0
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0¢ $14k 0
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-02?: Patrick Halpin Kalshi 17¢ $14k Nov 3 0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 0.6¢ $14k Nov 8 0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket 1.2¢ $14k Nov 8 0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket 12¢ $14k Nov 8 0
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?
CO-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket 59¢ $14k 0
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Tennessee: Jerri Green Kalshi 5.9¢ $14k Nov 3 0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
FL-13 House Election Winner
Polymarket 65¢ $13k 0
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Polymarket 43¢ $13k 0
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Polymarket 100¢ $13k Oct 28 0
Will the Democratic party win 214-217 House seats in the 120th Congress? Kalshi 2.7¢ $13k Feb 1 0
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 1.7¢ $13k 0
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0.8¢ $13k 0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket 0¢ $13k Nov 8 0
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0.7¢ $13k 0
Will the Republican party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 120th Congress? Kalshi 1¢ $13k Feb 1 0
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Nov 1, 2026?: 38.6% Kalshi 25¢ $13k Nov 1 0
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Iowa?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0¢ $13k 0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Polymarket 94¢ $13k 0
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
Polymarket 0.6¢ $13k 0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Polymarket 5.5¢ $13k Jan 1 0
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.