Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

8,415 open politics markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	0¢	$19k	in 2 days
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Next Prime Minister of Spain?	Polymarket	11¢	$19k	Apr 1
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	1.4¢	$19k	in 2 days
Will Texas Senate be Ken Paxton wins AND Maine Senate be Troy Jackson wins for Nov 2026?: Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson	Kalshi	8.5¢	$19k	Nov 3
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	2.6¢	$19k	Nov 8
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Arizona Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	93¢	$19k	in 2 days
Will the Democratic party hold fewer than 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?: Below 53	Kalshi	52¢	$19k	Feb 1
Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 48 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House AND hold 48 or more seats in the Senate?	Kalshi	93¢	$19k	Feb 1
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Massachusetts: Maura Healey	Kalshi	97¢	$18k	Nov 3
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	0.9¢	$18k	in 2 days
Will the Republican party hold exactly 51 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	6.5¢	$18k	Feb 1
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	9.9¢	$18k	Nov 8
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	2.6¢	$18k	Nov 8
Will the Democratic party hold exactly 57 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	2.3¢	$18k	Feb 1
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Idaho?: Jim Risch	Kalshi	95¢	$18k	Nov 3
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Polymarket	50¢	$18k	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	0.7¢	$18k	in 2 days
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in South Carolina: Jermaine Johnson	Kalshi	6.6¢	$18k	Nov 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	1.5¢	$18k	Nov 8
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	1¢	$18k	in 2 days
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	0.6¢	$17k	in 2 days
Will the Democratic party win 226-229 House seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	6.2¢	$17k	Feb 1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?	Polymarket	28¢	$17k	Oct 28
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? New York Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	2.6¢	$17k	in 2 days
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Polymarket	2.6¢	$17k	Jan 1
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oregon: Tina Kotek	Kalshi	81¢	$17k	Nov 3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	0¢	$17k	in 2 days
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	1.2¢	$17k	Nov 8
Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?: Yes	Kalshi	61¢	$17k	Nov 3
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Nov 1, 2026?: 38.4%	Kalshi	1.5¢	$17k	in 29 min
Will the Republican Party win 203-207 seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	6.7¢	$16k	Feb 1
Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Dakota?: Mike Rounds	Kalshi	95¢	$16k	Nov 3
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Presidential Election Winner 2028	Polymarket	0¢	$16k	Nov 8
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Kansas Governor Election Winner	Polymarket	74¢	$16k	in 2 days
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-09?: Justin J. Pearson	Kalshi	16¢	$16k	Nov 3
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Polymarket	100¢	$16k	Oct 27
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner	Polymarket	6.5¢	$16k	May 2
Will Trump say "Amazon / AMZN" before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	98¢	$16k	Nov 1
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada: Joe Lombardo	Kalshi	26¢	$16k	Nov 3
Will Texas Senate be James Talarico wins AND Maine Senate be Susan Collins wins for Nov 2026?: James Talarico and Susan Collins	Kalshi	18¢	$16k	Nov 3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	0¢	$16k	in 2 days
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	0¢	$16k	in 2 days
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner	Polymarket	76¢	$16k	Nov 29
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	0¢	$16k	in 2 days
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	Polymarket	0¢	$16k	Nov 8
Will the Democratic party win 234-237 House seats in the 120th Congress?	Kalshi	11¢	$15k	Feb 1
What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Dubuque, Iowa originally scheduled for November 1, 2026?: Event does not qualify	Kalshi	1¢	$15k	Nov 15
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? MO-02 House Election Winner	Polymarket	40¢	$15k	in 2 days
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	1.4¢	$15k	in 2 days
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	Polymarket	0¢	$15k	in 2 days

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.