Tech and science markets on Polymarket and Kalshi
1,402 open tech and science markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.
| Market | Venue | Yes | 24h vol | Ends | Edits | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Will 1win launch a token by ___? |
100¢ | $1.7M | Nov 1 | 1 | ||
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Which company has best AI model end of 2026? |
0¢ | $45k | Dec 31 | 0 | ||
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Which company has best AI model end of 2026? |
0¢ | $35k | Dec 31 | 0 | ||
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Which company has best AI model end of 2026? |
0¢ | $30k | Dec 31 | 0 | ||
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Which company has best AI model end of 2026? |
0¢ | $24k | Dec 31 | 0 | ||
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___? |
63¢ | $22k | Nov 16 | 0 | ||
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___? |
0¢ | $21k | Nov 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Which company has best AI model end of 2026? |
56¢ | $20k | Dec 31 | 0 | ||
| New pandemic in 2026? | 3¢ | $18k | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? |
27¢ | $12k | Jan 5 | 0 | ||
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model end of November? |
68¢ | $11k | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) |
35¢ | $10k | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? |
14¢ | $10k | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? |
21¢ | $9.9k | Jan 5 | 0 | ||
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? When will Gemini Carbon be released? |
71¢ | $9.6k | Nov 16 | 0 | ||
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___? |
85¢ | $8.9k | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 2.4¢ | $8.8k | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Which company has best AI model end of 2026? |
0¢ | $8.8k | Dec 31 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Which company has best AI model end of 2026? |
37¢ | $8.4k | Dec 31 | 0 | ||
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Gemini Carbon released by...? |
76¢ | $8k | Nov 16 | 0 | ||
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Will Tesla release Optimus by...? |
4.4¢ | $7.5k | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut? |
85¢ | $6.9k | Jul 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model end of November? |
25¢ | $6.4k | Dec 1 | 0 | ||
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Which company has best AI model end of 2026? |
5.7¢ | $6.3k | Dec 31 | 0 | ||
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | 3.2¢ | $4.3k | Nov 20 | 0 | ||
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...? |
23¢ | $3.9k | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| AI bubble burst in 2026? AI bubble burst by...? |
9.9¢ | $2k | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | 10¢ | $1.2k | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? Will Daylight launch a token by ___? |
4.9¢ | $461 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Will Extended launch a token by ___ ? |
92¢ | $440 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Will Arc launch a token by ___ ? |
4.5¢ | $338 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Richest person on December 31, 2026? |
97¢ | $314 | Jan 3 | 0 | ||
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? |
6.8¢ | $241 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Will Abstract launch a token by ___? |
2.6¢ | $229 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? |
3.7¢ | $156 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? Which CEOs will be out before 2027? |
5.2¢ | $115 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ? |
8.6¢ | $82 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? |
30¢ | $64 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Which CEOs will be out before 2027? |
6.4¢ | $60 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? Will Exponent launch a token by ___? |
14¢ | $53 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | 13¢ | $49 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? Will Theo launch a token by ___ ? |
25¢ | $46 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
4.3¢ | $21 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? |
68¢ | $19 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ? |
16¢ | $16 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? |
2.7¢ | $11 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? | 1.8¢ | $8 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? |
98¢ | $7 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | 44¢ | $6 | Jan 1 | 0 | ||
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? Which CEOs will be out before 2027? |
4.8¢ | $0 | Jan 1 | 0 |
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Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.