Tech and science markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,294 open tech and science markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?	Polymarket	77¢	$0	Jan 1
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Polymarket	3.9¢	$0	Jan 1
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027?	Polymarket	6.5¢	$0	Jan 1
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	Polymarket	5.5¢	$0	Jan 1
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Polymarket	97¢	$0	Jan 1
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?	Polymarket	2.1¢	$0	Jan 1
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple?: Before 2030	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Apple Inc. report above 168000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?: Above 168000	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31
Will Apple Inc. report above 170000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?: Above 170000	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31
Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before Jul 1, 2027?: Before Jul 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jul 1
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027: At least 1550 score	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027: At least 1600 score	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public?: Amazon	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1575000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?: Above 1575000	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?: Above 106	Kalshi	—	—	in 6 days
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 109 ?: Above 109	Kalshi	—	—	in 6 days
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 112 ?: Above 112	Kalshi	—	—	in 6 days
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?: Above 94	Kalshi	—	—	in 6 days
Anthropic market share this week?: Above 4.5%	Kalshi	—	—	in 24 h
Anthropic market share this week?: Above 4.9%	Kalshi	—	—	in 24 h
Anthropic market share this week?: Above 5.4%	Kalshi	—	—	in 24 h
Anthropic market share this week?: Above 5.5%	Kalshi	—	—	in 24 h
Anthropic market share this week?: Above 5.6%	Kalshi	—	—	in 24 h
Anthropic market share this week?: Above 5.8%	Kalshi	—	—	in 24 h
Anthropic market share this week?: Above 6.1%	Kalshi	—	—	in 24 h
Anthropic market share this week?: Above 6.5%	Kalshi	—	—	in 24 h
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will “Artificial Intelligence” be the #1 reason for job cuts in Challenger’s October 2026 report?: AI #1?	Kalshi	—	—	in 4 days
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?: Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 1
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?: Before Nov 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 1
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?: Before Nov 16, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 16
Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 2300 ?: Above 2300	Kalshi	—	—	in 7 days
Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 5800 ?: Above 5800	Kalshi	—	—	in 7 days
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)?: ChatGPT	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)?: Gemini	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)?: GLM	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)?: MiMo	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026?: Anthropic	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026?: OpenAI	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026?: xAI	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026?: Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026?: Before Nov 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Apr 1, 2027?: Before Apr 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027?: Before Feb 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Feb 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027?: Before Mar 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?: Before May 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	May 1

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.