Tech and science markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,402 open tech and science markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026?: Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026?: Before Nov 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Apr 1, 2027?: Before Apr 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027?: Before Feb 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Feb 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027?: Before Mar 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?: Before May 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	May 1
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?: Before 2028	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Reddit, Inc. ("Reddit") or Google LLC or Alphabet Inc. ("Google") announce Reddit, Inc. ("Reddit") and Google LLC or Alphabet Inc. ("Google") renew their existing agreement before Jul 1, 2027?: Yes	Kalshi	—	—	Jul 1
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before Jul 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jul 1
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before Jan 1, 2028	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?: Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 1
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?: Before Nov 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 1
Will Input Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $0.75/MTok in 2026?: $0.75/MTok or below	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
Will Input Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $1.00/MTok in 2026?: $1.00/MTok or below	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
Will Gemini App Downloads for October 2026 be above 300 ?: Above 300	Kalshi	—	—	in 7 days
Google market share this week?: Above 17.3%	Kalshi	—	—	in 22 h
Google market share this week?: Above 18.4%	Kalshi	—	—	in 22 h
Google market share this week?: Above 19.1%	Kalshi	—	—	in 22 h
Google market share this week?: Above 19.4%	Kalshi	—	—	in 22 h
Google market share this week?: Above 19.7%	Kalshi	—	—	in 22 h
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Dec 31, 2026?: Before Dec 31, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?: Before Nov 6, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	in 5 days
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?: Before Nov 13, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 13
Will Input Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $4/MTok in 2026?: $4/MTok or below	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
Will ChatGPT App Downloads for October 2026 be above 100 ?: Above 100	Kalshi	—	—	in 7 days
Will ChatGPT App Downloads for October 2026 be above 115 ?: Above 115	Kalshi	—	—	in 7 days
Will ChatGPT App Downloads for October 2026 be above 80 ?: Above 80	Kalshi	—	—	in 7 days
Will ChatGPT App Downloads for October 2026 be above 85 ?: Above 85	Kalshi	—	—	in 7 days
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?: Before April 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?: Before March 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 1
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?: Above 11	Kalshi	—	—	in 32 h
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?: Above 20	Kalshi	—	—	in 32 h
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?: Above 9	Kalshi	—	—	in 32 h
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Claude	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Qwen	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Gemini	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Muse	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: ChatGPT	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Grok	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI this week: Amazon Nova	Kalshi	—	—	in 32 h
Best AI this week: Claude	Kalshi	—	—	in 32 h
Best AI this week: Gemini	Kalshi	—	—	in 32 h
Best AI this week: MUSE	Kalshi	—	—	in 32 h
Best AI this week: ChatGPT	Kalshi	—	—	in 32 h

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.