Tech and science markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,402 open tech and science markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?: Above 9	Kalshi	—	—	in 29 h
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Claude	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Qwen	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Gemini	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Muse	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: ChatGPT	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Grok	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Best AI this week: Amazon Nova	Kalshi	—	—	in 29 h
Best AI this week: Claude	Kalshi	—	—	in 29 h
Best AI this week: Gemini	Kalshi	—	—	in 29 h
Best AI this week: MUSE	Kalshi	—	—	in 29 h
Best AI this week: ChatGPT	Kalshi	—	—	in 29 h
Best AI in Oct 2026?: Claude	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
Best AI in Oct 2026?: Gemini	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
Best AI in Oct 2026?: ChatGPT	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
Will Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will there be more than 10000 measles cases in 2026?: Above 10000	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?: Above 6000	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?: Above 7000	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will there be more than 8000 measles cases in 2026?: Above 8000	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will there be more than 9000 measles cases in 2026?: Above 9000	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $900 billion?: Above $900 billion	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least 25	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA?: before December	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 1
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?: Before Apr 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?: Before Feb 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Feb 1
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Jan 2027?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?: Before Mar 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 1
Pandemic in 2026?: In 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will NVIDIA Corporation report above 54000 total employees in 2027?: Above 54000	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?: Head-mounted display	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?: Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 1
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?: Before Nov 1, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 1
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2028?: Before Jan 1, 2028	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
OpenAI market share this week?: Above 16.1%	Kalshi	—	—	in 19 h
OpenAI market share this week?: Above 17.3%	Kalshi	—	—	in 19 h
OpenAI market share this week?: Above 18.6%	Kalshi	—	—	in 19 h
OpenAI market share this week?: Above 19.2%	Kalshi	—	—	in 19 h
OpenAI market share this week?: Above 20.0%	Kalshi	—	—	in 19 h
OpenAI market share this week?: Above 21.0%	Kalshi	—	—	in 19 h
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 19.8%: Above 19.8%	Kalshi	—	—	in 43 h
Will Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $4/MTok in 2026?: $4/MTok or below	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?: Before 2030	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Will Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.