Tech and science markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,402 open tech and science markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
OpenAI market share this week?: Above 21.0%	Kalshi	—	—	in 18 h
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 19.8%: Above 19.8%	Kalshi	—	—	in 42 h
Will Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $4/MTok in 2026?: $4/MTok or below	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?: Before 2030	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Will Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 31
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 31
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 140	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 160	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 170	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026?: Above 145	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
How many launches will SpaceX have in Nov 2026?: Above 8	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 1
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026?: Above 10	Kalshi	—	—	in 3 h
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026?: Above 11	Kalshi	—	—	in 3 h
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026?: Above 13	Kalshi	—	—	in 3 h
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026?: Above 9	Kalshi	—	—	in 3 h
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?: Before 2030	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?: Before Dec 11, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 11
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?: Before Nov 13, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 13
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?: Before Nov 27, 2026	Kalshi	—	—	Nov 27
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?: Before 2028	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will below 2 Starship launches reach space in 2026?: 1 or below	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will exactly 2 Starship launches reach space in 2026?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will exactly 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Top Coding AI this week?: Claude	Kalshi	—	—	in 28 h
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)?: Claude	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027?: Above 750000 in a single quarter	Kalshi	—	—	Apr 1
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026?: Before 2027	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Tesla Inc report above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?: Above 1000	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will Tesla Inc report above 5000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?: Above 5000	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?: Elon Musk	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 31
Will Base launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Dec 31
Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jan 1
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?: claude-opus-5.5-high	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?: claude-fable-5.1-max	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?: gemini-4-argon-high	Kalshi	—	—	Oct 31
Will Tesla report Above 400,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jul 31
Will Tesla report Above 425,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jul 31
Will Tesla report Above 450,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jul 31
Will Tesla report Above 400,000 total production in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jul 31
Will Tesla report Above 450,000 total production in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jul 31
Will Tesla report Above 475,000 total production in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	—	—	Jul 31
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total deliveries in 2026?	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.8 million total deliveries in 2026?	Kalshi	—	—	Mar 31

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.