Tech and science markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,409 open tech and science markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026? How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in October 2026? How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in October 2026? How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31? Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31? Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31? Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31? Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31? Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31? Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on October 31? Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? Will Claude go down on __ days in October?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October? Will Claude go down on __ days in October?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of November 2026? Anthropic’s valuation end of November 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of November 2026? Anthropic’s valuation end of November 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will Google have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Kandinsky have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.