Tech and science markets on Polymarket and Kalshi

1,409 open tech and science markets I track on both venues, with each one's Yes price, volume and rules edits. Categories come from keywords in the title and event.

Market	Venue	Yes	24h vol	Ends
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $60 in 2026? What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $55 in 2026? What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $70 in 2026? What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $60 in 2026? What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026? What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026? What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or below $8 in 2026? What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027? Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027? Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026? Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 1
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027? Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 1
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	Polymarket	—	—	Jul 1
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026? Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Dec 31
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Jan 31
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026? Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? # of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? # of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? # of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? # of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.725T by October 31? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.475T by October 31? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by October 31? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by October 31? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by October 31? Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $65B by October 31? Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by October 31? Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $45B by October 31? Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by October 31? Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by October 31? Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31? Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $950B by October 31? Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31? Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $825B by October 31? Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026? Private Companies - greatest valuation growth October 2026	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026? Private Companies - greatest valuation growth October 2026	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 1
Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of November 2026? OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 30
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of November 2026? OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 30
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of November 2026? OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 30
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026? OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 30
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of November 2026? OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 30
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026? OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 30
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?	Polymarket	—	—	Nov 30

Prices and volumes are from my last read of each market; a dash means I haven't read it since tracking began. Kalshi volume counts contracts traded, each worth up to $1, as Kalshi's own site does.